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U.S. CFOs Give Economy Highest Score in Five Years

July 24, 2013, 07:02 AM
Filed Under: Economic Commentary

U.S. financial officers gave the economy its highest score in five years and were significantly more confident about economic growth in 2013 in the latest Bank of America Merrill Lynch CFO Outlook survey.

Executives who participated in the 2013 CFO Outlook Mid-Year Update gave the U.S. economy an average score of 58 out of 100, up from 49 in the previous survey conducted in late 2012. CFOs gave the global economy a score of 51, up from 45.

CFOs voiced even stronger optimism about economic growth, with 55 percent expecting expansion in 2013, compared with 39 percent in the previous survey. Only 10 percent said they expect the economy to shrink, down from 24 percent.

This confidence comes as U.S. companies continue to do more business in other countries, with 76 percent of CFOs reporting some type of activity in foreign markets. That is up from 73 percent in the previous survey and 67 percent one year ago, as more companies are buying from, selling to and establishing operations in non-U.S. markets.

“Beyond their brighter view of the economy, CFOs and their companies remain focused on new markets and opportunities for international growth,” said Alastair Borthwick, head of Global Commercial Banking at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. “While expanding into other countries is attractive, doing business globally brings many challenges and often requires a wide range of financial solutions. More than ever, U.S. companies are seeking help with accessing capital, managing risk, maximizing cash and increasing efficiency as they grow their businesses.”
 
When asked in the CFO Outlook about potential impacts on the U.S. economy this year, executives overwhelmingly named health care costs, with 72 percent ranking it as a significant concern, up from 62 percent in the previous survey and 51 percent one year ago. The cost of health care also was the top financial concern for CFOs’ own companies, with 70 percent ranking it a significant concern, up from 58 percent and 51 percent; no other responses in the latest report were above 50 percent. The survey responses were taken before the recent announcement that the employer mandate in the Affordable Care Act (ACA) will be delayed until 2015.

Selected notable findings in the 2013 CFO Outlook Mid-Year Update:

  • Forty-eight percent of CFOs expect their companies to hire employees this year, up from 45 percent in the previous survey.
  • Regarding revenues and profits, 56 percent of CFOs expect revenue growth – same as in the previous survey – while 43 percent anticipate a growth in profit margin, up from 40 percent.
  • CFOs gave the manufacturing sector a score of 57 out of 100, up from 53 in the previous survey the highest mark since 2011. This was the seventh consecutive survey in which the sector received a score above 50. 

To read the full press release, click here.







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