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Used Truck Prices Rise as Secondary Market Inventory Trickles, ACT Research

August 17, 2021, 06:00 AM
Filed Under: Trucking

Preliminary used Class 8 volumes (same dealer sales) dropped 3% month-over-month and 19% y/y in July. Through the first seven months of the year, activity is 13% higher compared to the same period a year ago, according to the latest preliminary release of the State of the Industry: U.S. Classes 3-8 Used Trucks published by ACT Research.
Other data released in ACT’s preliminary report included month-over-month comparisons for July 2021, which showed that average prices dropped 3%, as average miles and age rose 4% and 3%, respectively, compared to June. Compared to July of 2020, average price was 45% higher, with average miles and age each up 1%. On a year-to-date basis, average price is 31% above its year-ago level for the first seven months of 2020, with average miles and age each down 1% on a year-to-date basis.

ACT’s Classes 3-8 Used Truck Report provides data on the average selling price, miles, and age based on a sample of industry data. In addition, the report provides the average selling price for top-selling Class 8 models for each of the major truck OEMs – Freightliner (Daimler); Kenworth and Peterbilt (Paccar); International (Navistar); and Volvo and Mack (Volvo). This report is utilized by those throughout the industry, including commercial vehicle dealers to gain a better understanding of the used truck market, especially as it relates to changes in near-term performance.

According to Steve Tam, Vice President at ACT Research, “Preliminary same dealer sales continued to ebb lower in July, slowing 3% from June and 19% lower compared to July 2020. Typically, there is not much difference in activity between June and July.”

Regarding used truck prices, Tam added, “The bigger issue continues to be the narrative surrounding the trickle of inventory coming into the secondary market from the new truck side of the industry. Unable to take delivery of new trucks when originally planned, new truck buyers are hanging on to units they had planned to trade. And of course, those new trucks have had their production hampered by pervasive part shortages.” He concluded, “Owing to the scarcity, particularly in a strong demand environment, used truck prices continued to increase in July. Looking ahead, pricing will most likely peak around mid-year 2022, based on expected economic/freight activity and forecast supply and demand. It is important to keep in mind that when the market inevitably slows, it will be doing so from a record level.”

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